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In the broadcasts, there is persistent mention of Eritrea, described as the arms supplier to the men from the Courts. Eritrea is tarnished by her abysmal human rights record, one of the worst in Africa, and has the ignominy of being quarrelsome and of picking fights serially with all her neighbors: a bloody war with Ethiopia over a strip of cactus and sand dunes in which two million lost their lives; with Yemen, over claims to an island situated between them. Malik can’t even recall what prompted Eritrea’s confrontation with Djibouti. Now Eritrea is going out on a limb and fighting a proxy war with Ethiopia by aiding the Courts.

Hungry, he eats stale bread and hardened cheese. Then he makes a pot of tea, of which he has two cups. While drinking these, he prepares coffee. As usual, he makes more than he can finish. No wonder his wife often describes him as wasteful. It is his habit to boil more water for tea than he needs, to cook far too much and then not bother to check what is in the fridge before buying more; anyway, he seldom remembers to put the leftovers in the fridge so that they won’t go bad. Feeling terrible about his profligacy, he decides he will force himself to drink all the coffee, one cup after another.

He is still upset at the way Amran responded to his enforced stay. True, he had wanted to remain for a few more days, but it is also a fact that the airports in Mogadiscio have been bombed and are now closed to traffic. Her tone when she is unreasonably upset irks him. She seldom applies her acute intelligence to situations before jumping to conclusions, and she tends to get carried away emotionally — like when she talks of raising an orphan if he doesn’t fly home this minute. He will have a word with Jeebleh, who will intercede. Or maybe his mother-in-law, often more levelheaded than her daughter, can calm matters down for the moment.

Insofar as the war front goes, HornAfrik Radio, indisputably Mogadiscio’s best, reports from the border regions that the Ethiopians are entering Somalia from different border posts, and every hour brings talk of another town falling into their hands. With no open resistance, the Ethiopians won’t need to defend or consolidate their hold on the territory they have occupied before moving on toward Mogadiscio. It is assumed they will be in the capital by as early as noon tomorrow. Meanwhile, the interim president, with half a battalion of Ethiopian soldiers and a smattering of Somalis in uniform escorting his entourage, has already arrived at the presidential villa, along with his own Ethiopian bodyguards and advisers, after receiving intelligence that TheSheikh and TheOtherSheikh and almost all the members of the Executive Board of the Courts have left soon after the bombing. What a tragic day it’s been for both Somalia and Ethiopia, Malik thinks, then writes these words and underlines them twice.

Malik is drawing on his memory of other cities that he has witnessed on the verge of falling to enemy forces: in the Congo, in Afghanistan, and so on. He writes, “In most cases, it takes a long time for ordinary folks unaccustomed to bearing arms to work up an appetite for battle. There is more than one side to a fence, and peaceable civilians stay on whichever side makes them feel safer. Rather like young girls in countries with a tradition of arranged marriages, they will go with whichever suitor is presented to them.”

He pauses, pen raised, and thinks how only later, after the occupation has been completed, a touch of cynicism will enter people’s attitude toward the carousel politics of which they have become victims.

Now he writes, “Mogadiscians have met warlords of every variety; the memory of the trauma has cauterized people’s suffering, minimizing it. They see the Ethiopian premier as just another warlord, albeit a foreigner, no less savage than their homegrown politico-sadists. To spare themselves more atrocities, the city will not show any open resistance to his advances. As one former senior military officer known to me has predicted, even the armed men loyal to the Courts won’t attack the Ethiopians until after they’ve taken the enemy’s measure.” Yet Somalis everywhere are incensed by the invasion, he argues, including those who were and are against the politics of the Courts. “They’d wait for their payback day with due patience. And when that day comes, they will dance a victory dance in the dirt roads of the Bakhaaraha Market, dance around the enemy dead, singing and kicking the corpses and burning effigies, giving in to the debasing pleasure of poisoning themselves with the toxins of vengeance. They will, in essence, take self-debasing pleasure in poisoning their souls, as one proverb has it, with the toxin that is vengeance. The world is no longer what the world used to be. Besides, Mogadiscians have done it before: danced a macabre, self-dishonoring dance around a dead Marine, and nothing will stop them from repeating that.”

He marks the article as “draft,” prints it, and then puts it away for the time being. Maybe he can make a much longer piece out of it, he tells himself. A pity he doesn’t know many ordinary people in Mogadiscio. But walking the streets with a tape recorder, a camera, and a microphone isn’t an option in a city where journalists are subject to death threats.

He pours himself another cup of coffee and turns to a new piece on the tendency of defeated armies to wreck cities before leaving them, and why. Before he puts pen to paper, he works the piece in his head, remembering parallel instances from other figures and places he has covered: the Afghani warlord Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, the Congolese faction leaders Laurent Nkunda and Germain Katanga. The HornAfrik commentator, one Mohamed Elmi, is confessing to being “impressed with the grown-up manner in which the Courts have handled their withdrawal,” and Malik finds himself agreeing. Mr. Elmi imagines that “it can’t have been easy to leave the city they wrested from the warlords only six months ago. Now they’ve had to abandon it to the crueler hands of the Ethiopians. True to the wisdom that a parent must not strike in anger the child whom they love, the Courts quit without ransacking the city, promising to return. When they come back, better armed, will they bomb in anger the very people whom they claim to love?”

The phone rings: Dajaal is on the line. Malik puts a couple of questions to him, most important, what he thinks about the Courts quitting the city.

Dajaal has nothing kind to say about the Courts. “When they first arrived on the scene, they entered the city with cannon, purportedly to oust the U.S.-supported warlords. But they damaged the morale of the residents by indiscriminately bombing a number of the districts, totally destroying ordinary people’s lives. Why are they in such a hurry to abandon the city to the Ethiopians now? Cowards win no friends.”

Malik knows well that during the war with the warlords, the Courts commanders inscribed the phrase “Allahu akbar” on the bazookas they launched, which fell in the most populous area of the city, killing hundreds. Still, he says, “At least this time they did not sack the city, or subject it to looting, as I have seen the Congolese and Afghan militias do when they fled.”

“Still, where are they when the city needs them?”

Malik says, “But they quit without firing a shot.”

“Why do you accept weapons as a gift from Eritrea, a pariah state, when you won’t fire a shot at your mutual enemy?” challenges Dajaal. “Rest assured that when they return, calling themselves ‘resistance fighters’ or ‘martyrs of the faith,’ they will resort to bombing the very people whom they claim to love.”

Anyway, according to Dajaal, only the men who are the known public face of the Courts have quit the city. The rest have stayed behind, supposedly to organize the resistance from within. Malik supposes that they have not yet released any statement because they must feel secure somewhere before doing so.