It was unclear when the new AdWords was introduced that it would be what it became: a Google money machine. “The AdWords is brilliant because it allows you to scale the advertising solution to what you need,” said former Microsoft executive Nathan Myhrvold. It democratizes advertising, allowing Google to use it for either small or large advertisers. It was also, Myhrvold believes, pirated from Overture. The rival search engine thought so too, and later that year filed a patent infringement lawsuit against Google.
A year later, a second money gusher-AdSense-would spring from the CPC model. At the time, Paul Bouchet was developing Gmail and working on software to match words sent in an e-mail with keywords selected by advertisers, allowing small text ads to instantly appear. Brin wondered why they couldn’t apply this innovation to a new program that would help bloggers and any Web site make money. This idea would be called AdSense. If a reader was looking at an analysis of computers on a Web site like Engad get, an HP or a Dell ad could appear. Similarly, readers of a story about the law in an online newspaper might see a law firm’s ad, while people looking at a Web site devoted to pancreatic cancer could see ads for pharmaceuticals. Google would serve as the matchmaker, delivering the advertising and sharing the revenues. As with AdWords, the advertiser would pay only when the ad received a click. And as AdWords democratized advertising, luring small advertisers online, so AdSense would become a way for Web sites to generate income. The effort was led and architected by Susan Wojcicki, vice president, product management, who later received the prestigious Google Founders Award-paying about twelve million dollars-to honor her efforts. AdSense, Danny Sullivan told USA Today, “basically turned the Web into a giant Google billboard. It effectively meant that Google could turn everyone’s content into a place for Google ads.”
Eric Schmidt recalled how Brin lobbied him for money to market the program. “He and an engineer developed a system of showing ads on people’s blogs or Web sites. They came to show this to me. It was not an exciting demo. And Tim Armstrong’s sales guy is assigned to help them out. Now we’ve got three people out of control! So Sergey comes in and said, ‘I need to buy inventory to make this happen.’”
“How much?” asked Schmidt.
“I need a million dollars,” said Brin.
“We don’t have a million dollars!” said Schmidt.
“Sure we do,” said Brin.
“I didn’t give a precise answer”-a couple of hundred thousand dollars, said Schmidt, chuckling. (Susan Wojcicki remembers that he alloted them a marketing budget of two hundred thousand dollars.)
Weeks later, Schmidt asked Brin, “Sergey, how much money did you spend?”
“A million and a half dollars,” said Brin.
“Sergey, you said one million!”
“No, you didn’t give me a precise figure!” said Brin.
“What does that tell you about them?” Schmidt said of the founders. “He had the idea. He assembled the activity. He figured out who his opposition was-which was me, in a friendly way. He told me about it because he wanted my support. And he evaded my guidance. And as a result, built a multimillion-dollar business.” (By 2004, AdSense would produce about half Google’s revenues.) Schmidt paused to chuckle again, then said, “You see why I work with these people!”
The chuckle is appropriate, for Google would not have succeeded without a measure of luck. As Larry Page confessed to a Stanford class, discovering the advertising formula that would work “probably was an accident more than a plan.” A reminder that timing, serendipity, luck-not just a smart strategy or brilliant execution-sometimes determines success. With programs like AdSense, Google did not aim to build a huge Web-based political constituency, but it did. As its advertising dollars rained on Web sites, Google was hailed as a benefactor. Not only was Google not evil, it was beneficent. Google would call these content Web sites partners, and give them about two-thirds of the ad dollars, with Google pocketing the rest. Many small businesses would be discovered and thrive. It was largely overlooked at the time that automated AdSense cut out the advertising middleman. Or as Wojcicki told me, “It changed the way content providers think about their business. They know they can generate revenues without having their own sales team.” In the online world, Google was potentially dis-intermediating not just the media buying agency but the sales forces of content companies.
AdWords and AdSense would solve the mystery of how Google could monetize its search engine. For the first time, in 2001, Google turned a profit: $7 million on revenues of $86 million. The next year, revenues more than quadrupled to $439 million, and profits jumped to $100 million. Google’s search index included three billion Web documents. Not surprising, among the top ten searches on Google in 2001 were these: World Trade Center, Osama Bin Laden, anthrax, and Taliban.
In 2002, Urs Hölzle, who is now Google’s senior vice president of operations, was undecided whether to return to his tenured faculty position at the University of California at Santa Barbara. AdWords made that decision simple. Google had finally found a way to make money. “Now we could fund all these things we couldn’t fund before,” he said, “2002 was when we said, ‘We can afford to spend more on machines!’” This was also the year Google discovered, as Eric Schmidt would tell me several years later, “We are in the advertising business.” Ignited, the Google rocket took off.
CHAPTER FIVE. Innocence or Arrogance?
(2002-2003)
Eric Schmidt now fully shared Page and Brin’s faith in Google’s ascendancy. What set Google apart, he came to believe, is that while people like him always assumed “Google would be an important company, the founders always assumed that Google would be a defining company.” The scope of Google’s ambition was presaged by something Page said when he and Schmidt spoke before a Stanford class in 2002. “If we solve search, that means you can answer any question,” Page said. “Which means you can do basically anything.”
Their audacity was displayed in May 2002 when Google made its most ambitious-and riskiest-deal yet. With its new AdWords in place, Google was eager to start syndicating ads, and even though it was doing about 150 million searches a day, it wanted to do more. AOL would be their vehicle. Because AOL later went into a tailspin, it’s often forgotten how dominant the company was. Webheads would sneer that using AOL was “the Internet on training wheels.” Yet it was AOL’s user-friendliness that helped popularize the Web-and which attracted thirty-four million paid subscribers in 2002. For Google, AOL was a ripe target, a giant portal with an enormous audience. But search rival Overture was doing AOL’s searches and advertising, and besides, as AOL’s then executive vice president, Lynda Clarizio, said, “No one knew who Google was.” Overture’s contract ended in May 2002, and the founders were determined to snare it.
“I want us to bid to win!” Page declared at an executive staff meeting, according to Susan Wojcicki.
“You’re betting the company if you do that,” Kordestani warned.
“We should be able to monetize the pages,” Page responded. “If not, we deserve to go out of business.”
With $10 million in the bank, Google promised AOL 85 cents of each advertising dollar collected, and guaranteed a minimum annual payment of $150 million in revenues. “We could have gone bankrupt,” Brin said.