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Okay, so, encouraged by these results, you now decide to have another procedure, this time involving a different region of the brain. The result is the same: You experience some improvement in capability, but you’re still you.

It should be apparent where I am going with this. You keep opting for additional procedures, your confidence in the process only increasing, until eventually you’ve changed every part of your brain. Each time the procedure was carefully done to preserve all of your neocortical patterns and connections so that you have not lost any of your personality, skills, or memories. There was never a you and a You 2; there was only you. No one, including you, ever notices you ceasing to exist. Indeed—there you are.

Our conclusion: You still exist. There’s no dilemma here. Everything is fine.

Except for this: You, after the gradual replacement process, are entirely equivalent to You 2 in the prior thought experiment (which I will call the scan-and-instantiate scenario). You, after the gradual replacement scenario, have all of the neocortical patterns and connections that you had originally, only in a nonbiological substrate, which is also true of You 2 in the scan-and-instantiate scenario. You, after the gradual replacement scenario, have some additional capabilities and greater durability than you did before the process, but this is likewise true of You 2 in the scan-and-instantiate process.

But we concluded that You 2 is not you. And if you, after the gradual replacement process, are entirely equivalent to You 2 after the scan-and-instantiate process, then you after the gradual replacement process must also not be you.

That, however, contradicts our earlier conclusion. The gradual replacement process consists of multiple steps. Each of those steps appeared to preserve identity, just as we conclude today that a Parkinson’s patient has the same identity after having had a neural implant installed.22

It is just this sort of philosophical dilemma that leads some people to conclude that these replacement scenarios will never happen (even though they are already taking place). But consider this: We naturally undergo a gradual replacement process throughout our lives. Most of our cells in our body are continuously being replaced. (You just replaced 100 million of them in the course of reading the last sentence.) Cells in the inner lining of the small intestine turn over in about a week, as does the stomach’s protective lining. The life span of white blood cells ranges from a few days to a few months, depending on the type. Platelets last about nine days.

Neurons persist, but their organelles and their constituent molecules turn over within a month.23 The half-life of a neuron microtubule is about ten minutes; the actin filaments in the dendrites last about forty seconds; the proteins that provide energy to the synapses are replaced every hour; the NMDA receptors in synapses are relatively long-lived at five days.

So you are completely replaced in a matter of months, which is comparable to the gradual replacement scenario I describe above. Are you the same person you were a few months ago? Certainly there are some differences. Perhaps you learned a few things. But you assume that your identity persists, that you are not continually destroyed and re-created.

Consider a river, like the one that flows past my office. As I look out now at what people call the Charles River, is it the same river that I saw yesterday? Let’s first reflect on what a river is. The dictionary defines it is “a large natural stream of flowing water.” By that definition, the river I’m looking at is a completely different one than it was yesterday. Every one of its water molecules has changed, a process that happens very quickly. Greek philosopher Diogenes Laertius wrote in the third century AD that “you cannot step into the same river twice.”

But that is not how we generally regard rivers. People like to look at them because they are symbols of continuity and stability. By the common view, the Charles River that I looked at yesterday is the same river I see today. Our lives are much the same. Fundamentally we are not the stuff that makes up our bodies and brains. These particles essentially flow through us in the same way that water molecules flow through a river. We are a pattern that changes slowly but has stability and continuity, even though the stuff constituting the pattern changes quickly.

The gradual introduction of nonbiological systems into our bodies and brains will be just another example of the continual turnover of parts that compose us. It will not alter the continuity of our identity any more than the natural replacement of our biological cells does. We have already largely outsourced our historical, intellectual, social, and personal memories to our devices and the cloud. The devices we interact with to access these memories may not yet be inside our bodies and brains, but as they become smaller and smaller (and we are shrinking technology at a rate of about a hundred in 3-D volume per decade), they will make their way there. In any event, it will be a useful place to put them—we won’t lose them that way. If people do opt out of placing microscopic devices inside their bodies, that will be fine, as there will be other ways to access the pervasive cloud intelligence.

But we come back to the dilemma I introduced earlier. You, after a period of gradual replacement, are equivalent to You 2 in the scan-and-instantiate scenario, but we decided that You 2 in that scenario does not have the same identity as you. So where does that leave us?

It leaves us with an appreciation of a capability that nonbiological systems have that biological systems do not: the ability to be copied, backed up, and re-created. We do that routinely with our devices. When we get a new smartphone, we copy over all of our files, so it has much the same personality, skills, and memories that the old smartphone did. Perhaps it also has some new capabilities, but the contents of the old phone are still with us. Similarly, a program such as Watson is certainly backed up. If the Watson hardware were destroyed tomorrow, Watson would easily be re-created from its backup files stored in the cloud.

This represents a capability in the nonbiological world that does not exist in the biological world. It is an advantage, not a limitation, which is one reason why we are so eager today to continue uploading our memories to the cloud. We will certainly continue in this direction, as nonbiological systems attain more and more of the capabilities of our biological brains.

My resolution of the dilemma is this: It is not true that You 2 is not you—it is you. It is just that there are now two of you. That’s not so bad—if you think you are a good thing, then two of you is even better.

What I believe will actually happen is that we will continue on the path of the gradual replacement and augmentation scenario until ultimately most of our thinking will be in the cloud. My leap of faith on identity is that identity is preserved through continuity of the pattern of information that makes us us. Continuity does allow for continual change, so whereas I am somewhat different than I was yesterday, I nonetheless have the same identity. However, the continuity of the pattern that constitutes my identity is not substrate-dependent. Biological substrates are wonderful—they have gotten us very far—but we are creating a more capable and durable substrate for very good reasons.

CHAPTER 10

THE LAW OF ACCELERATING RETURNS APPLIED TO THE BRAIN

And though man should remain, in some respects, the higher creature, is not this in accordance with the practice of nature, which allows superiority in some things to animals which have, on the whole, been long surpassed? Has she not allowed the ant and the bee to retain superiority over man in the organization of their communities and social arrangements, the bird in traversing the air, the fish in swimming, the horse in strength and fleetness, and the dog in self-sacrifice?