Выбрать главу

8

Chase stood before the tinted window looking out at the serrated mountain peaks etched against the bright blue Colorado sky, incredibly sharp and clear even though twenty miles away.

"Don't you find the view distracting, Bill?"

"Binch," said Bill Inchcape with a smile. "Everybody calls me Binch." He heaved his bulk out of the chair and wandered over to the window. "It is pretty spectacular, I guess, but after twelve years it's just part of the scenery." He caught Chase's eye and chuckled. "I mean, it is the scenery, what am I talking about?"

"It certainly beats the view from my London flat," Chase remarked enviously. "If I had this to look at I'd never get a thing done."

After nearly five weeks of being continually on the move he was starting to feel jaded and travel-weary. The magnificent mountains and wide-open spaces were a tonic: just what he needed to buck up his spirits and restore his mental edge.

"What do you think, Gavin, is the information of any use?" Binch wanted to know, tucking his pudgy hands into the pockets of his voluminous trousers. He weighed 250 pounds, and knew the risk, but had failed miserably at practically every kind of diet. The only thing left was to have his jaw wired up.

Chase nodded. "I'll have to work the technical stuff into the text somehow, soften it up. The pieces are aimed at the lay reader, not scientists, so it'll have to be pitched at that level."

"Let me tell you something," Binch said frankly. "A few years ago I'd have kicked you out the door as one more environmental crank. I used to think it was a load of hogwash; you know, reporters, TV pundits trying to jump on the scare bandwagon."

"But not anymore?"

Binch shook his head so that his jowls quivered. "There's too much going on up there we don't know about." He nodded toward the empty blue sky. "And what we do know isn't exactly reassuring. Living with DELFI has taught me that much."

"You use DELFI for climatic modeling," Chase said.

"Right. Determining Environmental Logistics for Future Interpretation." Binch made a face. "Damn fool name, I know, but I guess we're stuck with it."

Chase's research for his piece on computer weather modeling came in useful here. He'd learned that as far back as 1978 the major nations had cooperated in mounting a climate monitoring survey, known as the Global Weather Experiment. It was an ambitious multimillion-dollar program involving the simultaneous launching of five geostationary satellites and two polar-orbiting satellites. Aircraft from a score of nations fitted with sensitive measuring equipment carried out a systematic probing of the atmosphere and the oceans. More than forty surface vessels were used to make oceanic and atmospheric observations in the Southern Hemisphere, and a network of automatic data buoys supplied a constant update on currents, wind strength, and rainfall.

The purpose of the Global Weather Experiment had been to collect data as a basis for computer modeling studies, but it was then realized that existing installations were hopelessly inadequate in handling this wealth of information. What was needed was a computer simulation facility that could formulate a mathematical model of the exceedingly complex climatic system worldwide, able to simulate every variability in climate caused by natural and man-made changes in the atmosphere and oceans, and come up with accurate long-term predictions.

Thus, in 1988, DELFI came into being. Acknowledged from the start as the most powerful and sophisticated facility of its kind, DELFI had further improved its capability by receiving information by microwave link direct from ATOP 7 (Astronomical and Terrestrial Observation Platform), which was the latest U.S. space platform and the first nonmilitary one, completed two years before.

"How far ahead are you forecasting?" Chase asked.

"Currently we're running three predictive programs--ten, fifteen, and twenty years." Binch was about to say something else, and hesitated.

"Restricted?" Chase said astutely.

Binch nodded, meeting Chase's eye with a sour smile. "As you might know, the military have a finger in this, as in everything else. I guess they think the Russians should have to sweat for their own climatic predictions instead of getting ours for peanuts."

"I can see that. But I don't see the military application."

"Me neither. If C02 is going to be a problem twenty years from now, it'll be the same for everybody. There's no military value in that so far as I can figure out."

"Unless you're the first to know about it and plan accordingly," Chase said, testing a speculation. Yet even supposing DELFI predicted a sharp rise in carbon dioxide over the next twenty years, so what? Such an increase had been recognized and plotted for decades. Did Bill Inchcape know something else that he couldn't reveal?

Binch returned to the desk and eased himself down. "You'll appreciate I can't say more, Gavin. If ASP got to hear I'd even been talking to you they'd ball me out and cancel my pension."

"ASP?"

"Advanced Strategic Projects. They're some kind of scientific offshoot of the army based at the Pentagon. I don't know a lot about them except they rank pretty high in the Defense Department."

"How often do you submit information to them?"

"Hey now," Binch protested mildly. "Don't dig too deep." He took his time lighting a cigarette and sucked in a lungful of smoke. "This is strictly off the record, okay? We give them an update when there's been any significant change, usually about every six months. There's no set schedule."

Chase showed surprise. "Things change that rapidly?"

"Let's say that as we feed in additional data our predictions become more accurate," Binch amended. "Right now, in fact, we're working on a new software package that we hope will sharpen up our accuracy by at least fifty percent. We've got a new computer specialist, an ex-Scripps guy, who's absolutely brilliant."

"What does ASP do with the information?"

"I don't know," Binch replied, giving him a level stare. "And if I did I wouldn't tell you." His expression softened. "How'd you like to come to dinner this evening if you've no other plans? My wife's a terrific cook --as you can see." He patted his lavish paunch.

Chase had met with this kind of hospitality throughout his trip, and he was delighted to accept. Americans on their home ground, he had found, were the warmest and most generous of people.

To his relief the occasion was quite informal. As Binch had promised the food was delicious, and Bill and Stella Inchcape the perfect hosts. Nothing was too much trouble, yet they didn't fuss over him, treating him rather as an old friend of the family. There were two other guests, the "ex-Scripps guy who's absolutely brilliant," who was called Frank Kollar, and his companion for the evening, Ruth Patton, a doctor specializing in diagnostic research at a hospital in Denver.

After the meal they went out onto the patio and sprawled in comfortable chaise lounges, drinking coffee and brandy under the stars. The night was warm and the air fragrant with the scent of pines. There was a sharper, almost bitter smell too that Chase couldn't identify.

"Cactus flower," Stella Inchcape informed him. "They don't usually grow this far north, but this is the third or fourth year we've had them. They're all over the place. I've asked Binch to cut them back but he's too lazy to get off his derriere."

"What I hate about gardening is that it's a waste of time," Binch said. "Once it's been cut why can't grass stay cut!"

"We'd be in trouble if it did," Chase said.

Ruth Patton asked him about his assignment and he explained about the series of articles he'd been commissioned to write for Sentinel.

"You don't sound like a journalist to me," she said, appraising him with frank dark eyes. She was a slender, rather elegant woman with dark curly hair that framed a sensitive, intelligent face.