Tom Clancy: It could be. The Falkland Islands War of 1982 is an interesting historical model. Why did that happen? It happened because the military junta that ruled Argentina at the time was making such a botch of running their nation that they had to find something to distract their people from the screwups they had at home. And they did that by grabbing the Falklands and causing a particularly pointless little war.
In the case of the People’s Republic of China, one way to distract their people from their political difficulties at home is to externalize. One target is Hong Kong. They’re going to absorb Hong Kong very shortly. And if they can absorb Taiwan, they’ll have an enormously powerful economy.
Also, they would put “paid” on a long-standing bill with Chiang Kai-shek and the Pao Min Tong. And the Chinese are people with long memories.
James Adams: But this would not be without cost. It would be difficult to imagine the United States sitting by and saying, “Okay, guys, take it over.”
Tom Clancy: This is unknown. It is a fact of U.S. law that America has a particularly schizophrenic policy toward China. On the one hand we acknowledge that there is only one China. And yet, on the other hand, we say this is not true. But if the People’s Republic of China attacks Taiwan, we’re not going to like it very much.
Now those two statements of policy are incompatible, but that is standing U.S. law.
Captain Doug Littlejohns: I think the world should watch very carefully what the Chinese military does now. When they did their exercises off Taiwan, they had to sort of back down. It will be interesting to see how they respond to that, and whether they feel that they’ve got to pour more money or focus more money in certain areas to ensure that that never happens again.
Tom Clancy: A further complication: What’s the nearest U.S. Navy base? We don’t have Subic Bay in the Philippines anymore. We have to stage out of the nearest one we have — which I guess is Japan. And that’s a goodly distance.
James Adams: Yes, it is. And would Japan really want that either, if China was rattling sabers?
Tom Clancy: Good question.
Captain Doug Littlejohns: They’re not terribly keen on nuclears.
Tom Clancy: No, they’re not. The next nearest fleet base is Pearl Harbor, and that’s 3,000 miles.
James Adams: Give me a sense of what it’s like inside a submarine in a crisis. You’re under attack. You don’t quite know where the enemy is. You’ve got to find them, retaliate, and at the same time take evasive action. What’s the flavor of that like? What’s the smell, the taste of the drama?
Captain Doug Littlejohns: Well, the first thing I’d like to get across to people — and I think the player needs to get that as well — is professionalism. People remain reasonably cool and calm. They have to, to do their job, because everybody is depending on everybody else.
James Adams: It didn’t look like that in Crimson Tide, of course.
Captain Doug Littlejohns: Well… I thought Crimson Tide was a great movie until about halfway through it.
James Adams: Until their mutiny started.
Captain Doug Littlejohns: I hope that wasn’t made by Paramount.
Having said that, you train for it all the time. And therefore it’s almost — well, second nature is probably putting it too far, but if you compare a submarine to a smooth-running engine, then a little perturbation like an attack and so on just notches it up to a different gear. And people respond to that. I’ve never experienced hysteria or people jumping up and down. They just get on and do the job.
James Adams: What was your worst experience as a submariner?
Captain Doug Littlejohns: I think the worst experience was when I had water coming in when it shouldn’t have been coming in when I was pretty close to my maximum diving depth. But that was handled very nicely.
James Adams: What did you do?
Captain Doug Littlejohns: Well, we were in a place where we could surface in a hurry. And actually I was very impressed by the way people responded. They did all the right things in the right order at the right time.
James Adams: Has that always been your experience? There haven’t been occasions where people have said or done things that take it outside of the normal performance loop?
Captain Doug Littlejohns: If the submarine is taken outside of the normal performance loop then the captain will do that — and do it very advisedly, because he knows the risks he’s running. But there are tactical scenarios when you will need to do just that. If you’re a professional, and you know the capabilities and the limitations, not only of your kit and your crew but of yourself — which is the most important one — then you can do it and get away with it.
James Adams: In one part of the game the commander of the submarine Cheyenne is instructed to fire only if fired upon. That seems to me to be a very vulnerable position to be put in, because you’re placed not in a proactive position, but in a reactive one. Which is not a happy state to be in.
Tom Clancy: Well, you won’t have a Navy commander initiating war between two superpowers. That’s seventeenth- and eighteenth-century stuff.
James Adams: But do you also want to allow yourself to be in a position where you can get taken out?
Tom Clancy: That’s a political decision. In America, the military is controlled by civilians.
Captain Doug Littlejohns: So it is elsewhere. I never served in an SSBN — a boomer — but to answer James’s question, when you go to sea in an SSN, you go on semi-war footing. You’ve got torpedoes loaded, particularly if you’re doing some interesting operations. And then you are in the situation you’ve just described. You could find somebody firing at you at any moment, but you can’t go out and initiate things. Because military don’t make war, they conduct a war which is made by the politicians.
James Adams: That’s a fine distinction. Tom, what about your experiences on submarines?
Tom Clancy: Well, for one thing, they were all tied alongside while I was on board. With one exception.
James Adams: What was the exception?
Tom Clancy: I stepped off a tugboat onto the portside fairwater plane of U.S.S. Hammerhead, walked across, and climbed up into the sail, so Newsweek could take some photographs of me being a fool.
Captain Doug Littlejohns: And you weren’t seasick?
Tom Clancy: Not in the least. I was too scared to be seasick. There was only a little bit of water between the pressure hull of the submarine and the tugboat. I figured I was on a real thinning program if I fell off.