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Rule out as many mental illnesses as you can.

But what dragged out his preparation was the realization that he was in uncharted psychological territory.

Danger assessment tools were really designed to help social service systems assist threatened wives to avoid abusive husbands. Situational context was crucial-but he also knew that he could comprehend only half of this equation: mine. The part that he needed to know was: his.

Jeremy Hogan sat in the near dark, surrounded by papers, academic studies, journal copies, textbooks that he hadn’t opened in years, and computer printouts of various web pages devoted to risk understanding.

It was night. A single desktop light and his computer screen were the only illumination in the room. He glanced outside his window to take in the sweep of inky isolation that surrounded his old farmhouse. He could not recall whether he’d left any lights on downstairs in the kitchen or living room.

He thought: I have become an old man. The steady gray fog of aging turns to deep night darkness.

This was far more poetic than he usually was.

Jeremy returned to his research. At the top of a blank sheet on one of his legal pads he listed:

Appearance

Attitude

Behavior

Mood and Affect

Speech

Thought Process

Thought Content

Perceptions

Cognition

Insight

Judgment

Under ordinary circumstances, these were the emotional domains he would probe before returning a psychological profile. Of the accused, he told himself. But now it’s me who stands accused.

There would be no way to assess appearance or anything else that required him to observe the caller in the flesh. So he would be limited to what he could detect from the caller’s tone, the specific words he used, and the way he constructed his message.

Language is key. Every word must tell you something.

Thought process is next. How does he construct his desire to kill me? Look for signals that will underscore the meaning of murder to him. When does he laugh? When does he lower his voice? When does he speed it up?

He thought of his assessment as a triangle. If language and thought were two lines, he would need to find a third. That would give him a chance.

Once you know what he is, then you can start to figure out who he is.

This is a game, Jeremy Hogan told himself. I damn well better win it.

He rocked back in his chair, twiddled a pencil in his hand, looked down at his notes, reminded himself to constantly be the part scientist, part artist he believed he was, and found that he wasn’t exactly frightened.

Curiously, he felt challenged.

This made him smile.

All right. You’ve made the first move, Mister Who’s at Fault?: a short, cryptic phone call that instantly made me panic like any damn fool who was suddenly threatened. White Pawn to e4. The Spanish Game. Probably the most powerful opening available.

But I can play, too.

Counter with: Black Pawn to c5. The Sicilian Defense.

And I’m no longer panicked.

Even if you do mean to eventually kill me.

When the phone did ring, he was deep in the mixed fog and electric dreams of sleep. It took him several seconds to drag himself from unsettled netherworld into unsettled reality. The ringing insistence of the phone seemed like it should be part of a nightmare rather than wakefulness.

Jeremy took several sharp breaths as he pivoted his feet to the side of the bed. It was cold, but it shouldn’t have been.

He inwardly screamed Composure! although he knew this was a difficult state to attain. He reached out with one hand for the phone and with the other punched a switch to “record.”

The caller ID had read “Unknown Number.” A quick glance at a bedside clock told him it was a few minutes after 5 a.m.

Smart, he thought. He will have been preparing himself for hours, building himself up, knowing he was awakening me and taking me unawares.

Another deep breath. Sound dull, befuddled. But be alert, ready.

He made his voice slow, thick with night. He coughed once as he answered. He wanted to give the impression of age and uncertainty. He needed to sound unsteady and afraid-even decrepit and weak. But he wanted to reply in the same way that he would have years earlier, a physician called in the middle of the night for an emergency. “Yes, yes, this is Doctor Hogan. Who is this?”

Momentary silence.

“Whose fault is it, Doctor?”

Jeremy shivered. He paused several seconds before replying. “I know you believe it is my fault, whatever it is. I should hang up on you. Who are you?”

A snort. As if this question was somehow contemptuous. “You already know who I am. How’s that for an answer?”

“Not very satisfying. I don’t understand. I don’t understand anything, and especially I don’t understand why you want to kill me. How long have you been-”

He was interrupted.

“I have been thinking about you, Doctor, for many years.”

The reply made him jump.

“How many years is that?”

Damn, Jeremy Hogan berated himself. Don’t be so goddamned obvious. He listened to the voice on the end of the line. It seemed rough-as if carved out of some frightening memory and sharpened to a point with a dull, rusty knife. He felt nearly certain now that the caller-killer was using some electronic voice-obscuring hardware. So rule out: accent, inflection, and tone. They won’t help you.

“If I have to die for something I allegedly did…”

He restored his own voice to something between irritation and lecture. But as he asked his questions, he listened for the responses.

Allegedly is a great word. It has a nice, lawyerly ring to it…”

Jeremy made a note on his legal pad.

Educated.

Then he underlined it twice.

He made a second note:

Not prison-educated. Not street-educated.

He took a chance. “So, you’re either a former student or a former subject. What, did I flunk you? Or maybe I wrote some assessment for the court that you think put you away…”

Come on. Say something that will help me.

The caller did not.

“What? Doctor, you believe those are the only two categories of people that might harbor ill feelings toward you?”

The caller laughed.

“You must feel you’ve led an exemplary life. A life without mistakes. Guilt-free and saintlike.”

Jeremy didn’t have time to reply before the caller added, “I don’t think so.”

“Why me?” Jeremy blurted out. “And why am I last on some list?”

“Because you were only part of the equation that ruined my life.”

“You don’t sound like it’s ruined.”

“That is because I have been successful at restoring it. One death at a time.”

“The man who died in Miami, he was a suicide…”