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, March/April 2012,

http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/137245/henry-a-kissinger/the-future-of-us-chinese-relations

.

8.

David Smith, “Hillary Clinton Launches African Tour with Veiled Attack on China,”

Guardian

, August 1, 2012,

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/aug/01/hillary-clinton-africa-china

.

9.

Aaron Friedberg,

A Contest for Supremacy: China, America, and the Struggle for Mastery in Asia

(New York: Norton, 2011).

10.

Arvind Subramanian,

Eclipse: Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic Dominance

(Washington, DC: Institute of International Economics, 2012); Martin Jacques,

When China Rules the World: The End of the Western World and the Birth of a New Global Order

, 2nd ed. (New York: Penguin Press, 2012).

11.

Zachary Karabell,

Superfusion: How China and America Became One Economy and Why the World’s Prosperity Depends on It

(New York: Simon & Schuster, 2009); Robyn Meredith,

The Elephant and the Dragon: The Rise of India and China and What It Means for All of Us

(New York: Norton, 2007); Nicholas Lardy,

Sustaining China’s Economic Growth After the Global Financial Crisis

(Washington, DC: Peterson Institute, 2012).

12.

Kathrin Hille, “Clinton Struggles to Soothe Beijing’s Fears,”

Financial Times

, September 5, 2012,

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/9b296eec-f728-11e1-8e9e-00144feabdc0.html#axzz25abzfG2p

.

13.

Andrew J. Nathan and Andrew Scobell, “How China Sees America,”

Foreign Affairs

, September/October 2012,

http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/138009/andrew-j-nathan-and-andrew-scobell/how-china-sees-america?page=show

; Robert Ross, “The Problem with the Pivot,”

Foreign Affairs

, November/December 2012, pp. 70–82.

14.

Thom Shanker, “Panetta Set to Discuss U.S. Shift in Asia Trip,”

New York Times

, September 14, 2012, p. A4.

15.

Kissinger, “Future of U.S.-Chinese Relations.”

16.

Henry M. Kissinger,

On China

(New York: Penguin Press, 2012), pp. 487–530; Zbigniew Brzezinski,

Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power

(New York: Basic Books, 2012), pp. 155–82.

17.

Daniel Yergin,

The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Making of the Modern World

(New York: Penguin Press, 2011), p. 222.

18.

Rebecca M. Nelson, Mary Jane Bolle, and Shayerah Ilias,

U.S. Trade and Investment in the Middle East and North Africa: Overview and

Issues for Congress

, Congressional Research Service report, January 20, 2012,

http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/183739.pdf

.

19.

Direction of Trade Statistics Yearbook, 2011

(Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund, 2011),

http://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF042/11827-9781616351489/11827-9781616351489/11827-9781616351489.xml?rskey=J2QZQv&result=1&q=Direction%20of%20Trade%20Statistics%20Yearbook,%202011

.

20.

Qian Xuewen, “Sino-Arab Economic Trade and Cooperation: Situations, Tasks, Issues, and Strategies,”

Journal of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies

5, no. 4 (2011): 68.

21.

Kissinger, “Future of U.S.-Chinese Relations.”

22.

Bernard Gordon, “Trading Up in Asia,”

Foreign Affairs

, July/August 2012,

www.foreignaffairs.com/print/134960

.

23.

Jane Perlez, “Clinton Makes Effort to Rechannel the Rivalry with China,”

New York Times

, July 8, 2012, p. A7.

24.

Joseph Nye, “Energy Independence in an Interdependent World,”

Project Syndicate

, July 11, 2012,

http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/energy-independence-in-an-interdependent-world

.

25.

“China to Build $2bn Railway for Iran,”

Telegraph

, September 7, 2010,

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/china-business/7985812/China-to-build-2bn-railway-for-Iran.html

.

26.

Myles Smith, “China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan Railway Project Brings Political Risks,”

Central Asia Institute Analyst

, Johns Hopkins University, March 7, 2012,

http://www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/5731

.

27.

“Turkey, China Sign Two Nuclear Agreements During PM’s Visit,”

Daily Hurriyet

, April 10, 2012,

http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-china-sign-two-nuclear-agreements-during-pms-visit.aspx?pageID=238&nID=18032&NewsCatID=348

. This article puts the 2010 trade figures at $19.5 billion; TUSIAD in Beijing puts the 2012 figures at $25 billion.

28.

Interviews with oil executives investing in Iraq, and with Turkish Kurdish Regional Government officials, August and September 2012.

29.

Kent Calder,

The New Continentalism: Energy and Twenty-First Century Eurasian Geopolitics

(New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2012), pp. xxxi–xxxii.

30.

Yergin,

Quest

, p. 210.

31.

James Fallows,

China Airborne

(New York: Pantheon, 2012), p. 98.

32.

Yergin,

Quest

, p. 172.

33.

Robert Kaplan, “Center Stage for the 21st Century: Power Plays in the Indian Ocean,”

Foreign Affairs

, April/May 2009,

http://www.foreignaffairs.com/print/64832

.

34.

Preparing for China’s Urban Billion

(San Francisco: McKinsey Global Institute, 2009), p. 18, cited in Fallows,

China Airborne

, p. 101.

35.

John Lee, “China’s Geostrategic Search for Oil,”

Washington Quarterly

35, no. 3 (Summer 2012): 75–92.

36.

Steve Coll,

Private Empire: ExxonMobil and American Power

(New York: Penguin Press, 2012), p. 240.

37.

Ibid., pp. 240–41.

38.

Yergin,

Quest

, pp. 222–23.

39.

Kalder,

The New Continentalism

, p. 3.

40.

John Mearsheimer,

The Tragedy of Great Power Politics

(New York: Norton, 2001), pp. 360–402.

41.

Coll,

Private Empire

, p. 243.

42.

Robert Kaplan,

Monsoon: The Indian Ocean and the Future of American Power

(New York: Random House, 2010).

43.

Kalder,

New Continentalism

, p. 36.

44.

Farhan Bokhari and Kathrin Hille, “Pakistan in Talks to Hand Port to China,”

Financial Times

, August 31, 2012,

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/5c58608c-f2a6-11e1-ac41-00144feabdc0.html#axzz25gV7a6Qn

.

45.

Kalder,

New Continentalism

, pp. xxxi–xxxiii.

46.

Robert Kaplan, “The Geography of Chinese Power,”

Foreign Affairs

, May/June, 2010,

http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/66205/robert-d-kaplan/the-geography-of-chinese-power?page=4

.