Gibson’s tone was despairing. ‘The signallers are extending the hand of friendship. And we’re too steeped in barbarity to—’
Sangster interrupted. ‘Possibly, even probably. But decisions on such issues are not your domain and further discussion is pointless. We shall require additional progress reports from you. I suggest we make contact at noon tomorrow, your time, and then again at midnight.’
For a moment uncertainty was flickering across the face on the screen, as if Sangster wanted to add something. But then he gave a little nod of finality and his image dissolved into snow.
Svetlana rushed out of the room.
Gibson dived over to a computer and started tapping briskly. Then he slapped the keyboard angrily. ‘I can’t get out.’
In a minute Svetlana returned, out of breath. She was holding a small mobile phone. ‘It’s dead.’
Petrie buried his face in his hands. Then he heard:
‘My oh my oh my oh my
Here we stay until we die.’
He looked across the table at Shtyrkov. The Russian caught the look, grinned ghoulishly back. ‘My temporal lobe damage, it progresses, does it not?’
28
Where Are They?
For an incredible second, she thought she glimpsed Logie Harris, the famous evangelist, through the trees. What is this, Jurassic Park? the Science Adviser asked herself. Surely Bull isn’t taking advice from that old dinosaur? But then the figure had gone and she carried on towards Laurel.
Hazel had always thought that the word ‘cabin’, applied to a building with three conference rooms and a mass of communications to the outside world, was stretching the English language a bit. Maybe, she surmised, it had been a cabin in the days when it had housed the Head of the Secret Service detail. But at least, unlike the Oval Office, the President’s office in Laurel Cottage was small and workmanlike.
The Chief sat behind his L-shaped desk with a computer and a clutter of papers. A man — a stranger — faced him across this desk, sitting uncomfortably upright. He was thin, intense, and looked as if he had slept in his cheap suit. He glanced briefly at Hazel and then looked away. Hazel thought that someone invited to the desk of the world’s most powerful man might at least have made an effort with the suit. Probably a bachelor, she guessed, living in some enclosed little world of his own.
The President waved in the general direction of the man. ‘Hazel, I want you to meet Professor Cardow, from Stanford. He’s with some think-tank which tries to predict future trends. He’s made a special study of the alien question — whether some day we’ll meet up with little green men.’ The thin man grinned nervously, stood up, touched Hazel’s extended hand briefly then sat down again. Hazel groaned inwardly. Another high-powered genius who couldn’t boil an egg.
‘Sit yourself down and listen to what the Professor has to say.’
Cardow glanced uncertainly between the President and his Scientific Adviser. His voice, when he spoke, was nasal and high-pitched. Hazel found it irritating almost from the first word. ‘I’ve been asked by the President to give an opinion on whether there’s intelligent life out there. My answer is No.’
‘And he can prove it with mathematical certainty,’ the President stated. ‘Sorry to interrupt, Stanford University, don’t let me do it again.’
Cardow resumed. ‘The problem is this, ma’am: where are they?’
Bull said, ‘That’s what I’ve been saying all along. Where are they?’
Hazel waited patiently. It occurred to her that Cardow, although addressing both the President and her, was avoiding eye-contact with both.
Cardow cleared his throat. ‘Given enough time, space travel is easy, Ms Baxendale. If we take the modern scientific age as having started with Newton’s law of gravity, we’re only four hundred years old. From the first Model T Ford to the International Space Station was only a hundred years — a human lifespan. It’s doubtful if there will ever be a time from now on when there isn’t a human being in space. And who knows how long our civilisation will last? Maybe another ten thousand years, maybe a million…’
Hazel shifted impatiently in her chair. ‘What’s your point, Professor?’
‘My point is that given a few million years, you can colonise the Galaxy easier than you can fall off a log. We’ve already sent the Pioneer spacecraft clean out of the Solar System. In another thousand years — in maybe a hundred years — we’ll have probes heading here, there and everywhere in interstellar space. Now there are a hundred billion stars out there and half of them are older than the Sun. Suppose there are civilisations out there millions of years old. Suppose there’s even one. It would have colonised the Galaxy long ago. We’d see plenty signs of it. The aliens would be here amongst us now. So where are they? If there was any intelligent life at all out there, the galaxy would be humming with radio signals. But all we hear is silence.’
‘You’re saying there’s nobody else in the whole Galaxy? We’re totally alone?’
‘Totally. We’re at the very beginning of our evolution as an intelligent species. Any other civilisation out there would be millions of years old, maybe tens of millions, maybe hundreds of millions. It would have taken over long, long ago.’
‘Did I hear you say hundreds of millions? Civilisations hundreds of millions of years older than us?’ the President asked.
Cardow, still avoiding eye-contact with Hazel, turned to the President. ‘Mr President, any civilisation which takes the science route will explode in power. Look where we’ve reached in four hundred years. Where will we be in four thousand years? Or four million? And there are stars like the Sun four billion years older than us. Any intelligent life forms out there would have taken over our planet long ago, before there were even humans. But where are they? There’s no sign of them.’
Hazel tried a line she’d read somewhere: ‘So you said. But absence of evidence isn’t evidence of absence.’
‘But we have evidence,’ Cardow countered smoothly. ‘They’re not here.’
‘Let’s not get too smart,’ Bull growled.
Hazel felt her jaw tightening. ‘There’s got to be something wrong with that argument. We know the Sun is an ordinary star. We know planetary systems must be common. There must be Earth-like planets out there in their billions, lots of them with water. And where there’s water there’s every prospect that life will evolve.’ As soon as Hazel mentioned the word ‘evolve’, she remembered that the President was a creationist, almost felt his negative body language. Shit.
‘That’s the NASA line,’ Cardow was saying. A slightly peeved tone was creeping into his voice; Baxendale suspected the man didn’t like being contradicted. ‘They push sub-surface oceans on Europa and permafrost on Mars, make out you’re a screwball if you don’t believe that’s a recipe for life, and use the prospect of finding it to squeeze megabucks out of Congress.’ He turned to Bull again. ‘The fact is, Mr President, there’s every reason to believe we’re alone. Take the idea that life was created out of a primordial soup.’
‘Soup? Life created from soup?’ Bull looked incredulous.
‘A primordial soup, formed by a chance combination of molecules. Now we’re made up of proteins and a protein molecule is made up of dozens to hundreds of amino acids, put together in a particular order. Suppose the soup is full of these amino acids. If we were to randomly shuffle these amino acids to get the full range of proteins that life depends on … well, the odds against getting it right first time are one in ten to the power forty thousand.’ Cardow looked triumphantly across at Baxendale. ‘That’s a one followed by forty thousand zeros.’