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(Ralf grew up playing console games whose squirrely physics engines sometimes allowed cars to ride along the undersides of overpasses, or avatars to sneak through the netherspace between two imperfectly adjoining walls. At low moments he jokes that, if nothing else, at least Loophole has managed to revive these mistakes at a grand, city-spanning scale.)

The core illusion is starting to take shape. It appears that a blue lid has descended over the capital – a lid pierced to let through the spires, towers and chimneys of its tallest buildings. It is not yet fluid, not yet a flood. There are too many gaps, too many rectilinear holes. But as we watch, so Ralf’s program renders its effects at finer and finer grain, until at last it really seems as though the city is flooded with blue paint.

The graphics engines kick in then, turning the flat blue to a living, moving sea. Technically speaking, Ralf’s coup de grace is trivial, but even over the sound of the traffic I hear Hanna’s gasp.

Imagine the city’s rivers rising unstoppably, and breaking their banks. (The mainland has sunk. Here’s all that’s left . . .) The waters spread and slow, pooling here, threading there, exploring and rejoining. New islands form. The rail terminus upon its little rise becomes an island, while to the north the city’s royal parks and theatres, its pleasure grounds and colleges, are made an island chain. The southern half of the city is almost entirely inundated. The towers of the large estates rise dramatically above the little waves, their lower storeys drowned. I take Hanna’s hand in mine. ‘Why run off to sea when the sea will come for you?’

I say it softly; too softly for Michel to hear.

Hanna shoots me a nervous half-smile, her fingers nerveless, waiting for me to let go of her hand. When I don’t, she moves away.

I lift the goggles from my face. ‘So there we are.’ Michel is still staring out to sea across the city, caught between realities. We have captivated him. Good. This being, after all, what we set out to do. ‘You like it?’

Of the gloomy vision encapsulated in Michel’s bestselling book, and rendered positively apocalyptic in Vaux’s forthcoming film, Ralf and I have so far generated only the sunniest, smoothest caricature. Michel’s narrative demands much more. It calls for foam and breakers, smashing tides and rips. But we have to begin somewhere.

‘It’s amazing,’ Michel says.

Hanna says nothing. She cradles her goggles in one hand and rocks the buggy against her hip with the other. The child is awake now. Hanna takes down the parasol and chucks her under the chin. Agnes turns her heavy head and blinks at me, her eyes wide, her mouth pursed in outrage.

She looks exactly like me.

There’s a cafe nearby I know is good, its interior a thick froth of old attic tat and second-hand furniture. Setting this pair down to eat anything in it is much more of a problem than I anticipated. They don’t eat meat any more. They want to know the source of everything. They are concerned about their sugar intake, about the tolerability of wheat, about the sufferings of the rural poor. The coffee has to be absolved of crimes against humanity. Hanna subjects even the muesli to interrogation. ‘Do you think these Brazil nuts are sustainable?’

‘I should think so,’ says the waitress, playing along because she knows me, because I come here for breakfast every day, because she expects we’ll have a laugh about this later.

Michel’s woodland redoubt, Hanna’s waterborne odyssey – it saddened me when they abandoned these innocent, impractical escape plans, and chose a more ordinary life for themselves. But here they are embracing something even more childish. Do these two seriously imagine that global collapse might still be averted – averted simply by everyone clubbing together for the common good? They are becoming the sort of tweedy vegetarians who take used carrier bags with them when they drive to the supermarket in search of organic salad. Seeing them sip their microbrewed coffees, it’s not hard to imagine what the End Times will actually look like: a planet of corpses clad in ‘I Told You So’ unbleached cotton Tees.

I don’t feel like laughing, seeing what I have seen – Agnes’s scowling, furious, vengeful baby face. I wore that very expression in a photograph I still own. I can picture it exactly – me in my pushchair, my mum behind me, and all around us the water meadows seeming to go on forever (though even then there must have been plans afoot, in some grey municipal office somewhere, to grub them up).

Is Agnes mine?

Hanna and Michel have both put on weight. New motherhood is alibi enough for Hanna’s slight and pleasant filling-out. Michel has no excuse. He has been passing his good fortune straight to his stomach, snacking inappropriately on the gooier, oilier brands of fairly traded flapjack.

What if little Agnes is mine? If she is, then these two make no sense at all.

I’m not at all surprised that, once they no longer had to worry about money, Hanna and Michel decided to have a child – or changed their plans around a child they hadn’t expected. Why look the gift horse in the mouth? In these happy circumstances, I can imagine Hanna letting her dreams of escape fall away, replacing them with something more normal, more adult and – yes, why not? – more comfortable. (The boat is gone. Sold. The beach house, too. They live in the suburbs now, though I don’t suppose they call them suburbs. They live in a puddle of satellite green, twenty minutes’ drive from the nearest railway station. The train into town takes an hour.)

But if Hanna had the slightest suspicion about the child’s paternity (and how could she not?) why on earth did she go through with the pregnancy? Why would she give her life up to a lie, and for the sake of a future quite different from the one she was planning for herself, and was working so hard towards?

If it’s my child – and of course it’s my child! just look at its face! – then Hanna is using her to freeboot on Mick’s fortune, binding him to her in a way he wasn’t bound before, when she couldn’t even say for sure whether he’d help her crew her boat.

‘You know,’ says Michel, ‘there is another reason we wanted to come see you today.’ He takes Hanna’s hand. Hanna stiffens. Smiles. Tries to.

Christ. He knows.

He says, ‘We wondered if you would be prepared to be Agnes’s godfather.’

‘What?’

Michel says it all again, word for word, laughing – dippy old Conrad, tuning out of the world, as usual. ‘Well?’ He talks about this as though it was another piece of work he is pushing my way. He wants to help out. He wants to get me involved. I wish Hanna would say something. Or do I? Christ, I don’t know. What would she say?

Agnes. Just look at her. Sleeping again. When she sleeps she looks just like her mother.

When she’s awake—

Vaux’s film company approves our work on The Shaman. The executives there are so delighted with our AR visualisations, they try to steal the underlying code. I keep Michel out of the loop while we sort this one out, because Michel and Bryon are working hard on the screenplay and I don’t want to throw grit in the works. Chances are Vaux, from his lofty perspective, probably doesn’t consider this theft at all; just a piece of business as usual.

But we have patents pending on the realtime mapping algorithms that drive our flood simulator, and we need to establish priority.

It’s a struggle to remain patient and civil with these people, but it eventually pays off: Vaux’s production company offers to buy us out. I’m resistant at first but Ralf is passionlessly pragmatic – the money they are offering us will pay for another year’s R&D. ‘We either have faith in our ability to come up with the Next Thing, next year, or we don’t,’ Ralf tells me. ‘If we don’t, then why are we in this business?’

He’s right, of course – and on the back of the cash, plus the goodwill we generate by being ‘businesslike’, we begin to expand, a semi-autonomous skunkworks, exploring the possibilities of immersive 3D.